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Are TIPS Broken?

On TIPS performance, surging real yields, and why passive investors need more inflation protection.

Quote of Will Rodgers saying "Invest in inflation. It's the only thing going up."
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Why Perfectionism Ruins Portfolios

Searching for the perfect portfolio can be a waste of time and short-term dopamine hits can sabotage long-term investment decisions.

Man deserted on island writing "Here for 1000 days... still waiting to find the perfect portfolio"
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Beware of Financial Alchemy

On the folly of chasing yield, why the stock market isn't a puzzle, and how pattern recognition can backfire.

Painting of an alchemist in their workshop discovering phosphorus.
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Is the Permanent Portfolio Broken?

How to fix three major risks of the permanent portfolio.

Book cover the The Permanent Portfolio.
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How to Protect a Portfolio Without Market Timing

A new strategy for how to reduce extreme stock market downside and avoid problems with popular market timing approaches.

Contrast between the expected bliss of market timing and often disappointment in actual performance.
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What Backtests Hide

Investors crave certainty about future returns and backtests seem to provide that. Here's what they don't show.

Time scale of human history and the small slice where we have quality financial data.